(Today’s Date: 11/20/2025)
Hey traders,
The calendar edge is still one of the most powerful forces in the market — and we are right in the heart of the strongest 6–8 week window of the year.
- December has been positive 73% of the time since 1950
- The “Santa Claus Rally” + early January gains have worked ~79% of the time historically
- The broader November–April period remains the single best 6-month stretch on record
Rates are still falling (10-year Treasury yield closed at 4.13% and trending lower), and that continues to help rate-sensitive and cyclical areas — even if the overall rally is still top-heavy and mega-cap driven for now.
| Ticker | Company | Current Chart | Why It Looks Positive | Realistic Target |
| TSM | Taiwan Semiconductor | Strong uptrend intact – keeps hitting all-time highs | AI demand + Q4/Q1 budget flushes = January is historically its strongest month | $330 – $350 |
| AMAT | Applied Materials | Clean uptrend, consolidating near highs | Semi-equipment stocks historically surge into January | $260 – $280 |
| PLD | Prologis (industrial REIT) | Steady grind higher off summer lows, rates helping | Falling yields + e-commerce tailwind = classic Dec/Jan REIT move | $140 – $150 |
| RCL | Royal Caribbean | Down ~32% from August peak – oversold, starting to bounce | “Wave season” bookings explode Nov–Feb → best consumer sector historically | $300 – $320 |
| TXRH | Texas Roadhouse | Down ~18% from recent highs – digesting beef-cost noise | Gift cards + holiday parties = one of the most reliable Dec/Jan winners | $200 – $215 |
- TSM, AMAT, and PLD are in fairly clean uptrends.
- RCL and TXRH are not — they are buying-the-dip setups right now.
Food for thought, when the November–January seasonal magic often works best: grabbing proven winners when they’re temporarily out of favor heading into their strongest months of the year.
- Uptrend names (TSM, AMAT, PLD) → buy strength or small dips
- Oversold seasonal beasts (RCL, TXRH) → buy the fear, use tight stops under recent lows
- Target 15–20% total upside into mid-late January / early-mid February either way
These picks come straight from real month-by-month seasonality scans inside Super Seasonals — the app that shows you win rates, average gains, and exact performance for every stock going back 30+ years.
Click the link below and start seeing all the data and customize your own scans and filters. You’ll instantly see the full Nov–Jan tables for TSM, RCL, TXRH, AMAT, PLD and many many others with your own eyes.
→ To Learn More Start Here: www.superseasonals.com
The calendar has been very, very good to patient traders this time of year. Let’s let it work again.
Trade smart,
Chad Shirley
