Blog, page 2

Blog

SuperSeasonal Weekly Watchlist (August 17)

July CPI landed right on consensus and September hold odds jumped to ~62–64%. Into the relief: a deep-value cyclical, a binary biotech catalyst, and a…

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SuperSeasonal Weekly Watchlist (August 10)

For the first time this cycle the market's base case is a rate hike — and the July CPI print lands Wednesday, mid-week. Three setups built as three…

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SuperSeasonal Weekly Watchlist (August 3)

The FOMC held 9–3 with three hawkish dissents — a headwind for long-duration growth. Into it: three dominant software franchises already down 30–50%,…

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SuperSeasonal Weekly Watchlist (July 27)

A hold is overwhelmingly expected Wednesday — the tone is the event. Meanwhile, this week's three setups are driven by their own catalysts: a biotech…

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SuperSeasonal Weekly Watchlist (July 20)

June CPI cooled hard — collapsing July hike odds to ~15% — just as the Iran ceasefire broke and oil rebounded ~9%. Into that whipsaw, three non-tech…

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SuperSeasonal Weekly Watchlist (July 13)

The June CPI print (July 14) headlines the week. Our watchlist steps off the crowded tech trade — defensive healthcare, momentum energy, and a…

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SuperSeasonal Weekly Watchlist (July 5)

After a $2.3 trillion June for the Magnificent Seven, three seasonal setups head into late-July earnings — two beaten-down tech compounders and an…

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SuperSeasonal Weekly Watchlist (June 29)

Rate-hike odds are intensifying just as Q2 earnings season opens. When money stays expensive, the bar rises — and names with their own catalysts matter…

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SuperSeasonal Weekly Watchlist (June 22)

With a new voice at the Fed signaling rates stay higher for longer, broad index bets get harder — and individual catalysts get more valuable. Each name…

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SuperSeasonal Weekly Watchlist (June 15)

Most weeks, a strong seasonal pattern means 85–93% frequency and a profit factor in the 5–7 range — the kind of stats that anchored last week's list. This…

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